MediumSevere WeatherCS: 32 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

5 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert is in force until 25 September 2026, 08:00 UTC.

It is the 115th strongest of the 150 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 8 March 2026. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Storm Warning issued September 24 at 2:58PM EDT until September 27 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY

Urban PEI: 56,312 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 8 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.79/1
Coordinates34.8000, -106.2000
Nearest CityLos Lunas (48 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)56.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.2c6451ceb95c336c033551dbf68e512182a36a11.002.2

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-24T19:02:35.913Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-24T21:37:59.623Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  2. 2026-09-24T21:32:37.740Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  3. 2026-09-24T21:27:17.108Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  4. 2026-09-24T21:16:33.843Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  5. 2026-09-24T21:05:47.586Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  6. 2026-09-24T20:49:38.770Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  7. 2026-09-24T20:38:56.519Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  8. 2026-09-24T20:17:30.607Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  9. 2026-09-24T19:50:47.357Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  10. 2026-09-24T19:24:06.594Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  11. 2026-09-24T19:18:46.815Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

  12. 2026-09-24T19:13:26.497Z · data_change

    Index 32 → 32; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventStorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMoriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM; Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary; Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay; Ocean Waters from the Merrimack River to Plymouth from 40 to 60 NM; Coastal Waters extending out to 25 NM South of Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket; Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to 20 NM South of Block Island; Ocean Waters from Marthas Vineyard to Nantucket from 25 to 60 NM; Ocean Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard from 25 to 60 NM and 9 more areas
HeadlineStorm Warning issued September 24 at 2:58PM EDT until September 27 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Expires2026-09-25T04:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Upton NY
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount29
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Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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